NEWS

Tropical Cyclone Makes U-Turn Towards Fiji, Will Intensify

Stay alert Fiji! Tropical Cyclone Winston is curving back but this time with more intensity with a likely Category 3 impact or more into the week. TC Winston is making
14 Feb 2016 11:33
Tropical Cyclone Makes U-Turn Towards Fiji, Will Intensify
Tropical Cyclone threat track map

Stay alert Fiji! Tropical Cyclone Winston is curving back but this time with more intensity with a likely Category 3 impact or more into the week.

TC Winston is making a u-turn towards Fiji after it was just reported two days ago that it was passing and posed no threat.

The commercial NaDraki Weather Service reported yesterday afternoon, weather tracking confirmed that could have ‘significant impact’ over the Southern and Eastern areas.

The Fiji Meteorological Service was more cautious, predicting Southern Lau could be hit.

While its earlier impact was flash flooding and heavy rains, mostly in the Western division, this impact is expected to intensify as it hits the second time around, NaDraki said.

Despite it being unusual for such tropical cyclones to behave this way, the unpredictable changes of weather patterns in the atmosphere can cause such behaviour to take place, NaDraki said.

It reported on its Facebook page: “The HWRF (Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting) model brings the cyclone closest to Fiji, and less than 100km from Suva.

“It may well be a severe cyclone (Category 3 or higher) as it moves close to Fiji.

“There is a high risk of direct impacts of TC Winston on Kadavu around the middle of next week, Southern and central Lau. Lomaiviti and southeastern Viti Levu including Suva are also potentially at risk.

“With TC Winston now forecast to curve back over Southern parts of Fiji, we need to consider preparedness for those parts of Fiji who might find themselves in harm’s way should this predicted movement of TC Winston come to pass.

“For now impacts from TC Winston will be minimal while the centre of the cyclone is well to the Southwest.

“However you should remain alert as the cyclone passes to our South and be prepared for further impacts next week (this week) if the cyclone approaches Fiji as forecast.”

 

Graph description

The Met Service website said: “The forecast path shown above is Nadi’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity.

“There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.”

Category 3 cyclones bring very destructive winds with typical gusts over open flat land of 165 – 224 km per hour.

But director of Meteorology Ravind Kumar remained more cautious in his update.

“It does not pose any threat in the next 24 hours however there is high probability for TC Winston to move closer to affect Southern Lau group.

“Strong winds warning in force for Vatu-i-Ra passage, Yasawa and Mamanuca, Northern Vanua Levu and South west Viti Levu waters.”

He added that a flood warning remained in force for Rakiraki’s low lying areas.

Meanwhile, the highest accumulated rainfall for the last 24 hour period indicated that Vatukacevaceva recorded the highest at 0.82mm.

Nadarivatu recorded 0.76mm, Matuku (0.75mm), Toge (Ba) (0.59mm), Lautoka Mill (0.59mm), Tavua (0.57mm), Yaqara (0.45mm), Rarawai (0.44mm).

 

Edited by Ranoba Baoa

Feedback:  waisean@fijisun.com.fj



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