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Economy Tourism, Gold, Garments And Electricity Record Positive Performance

Despite the setback from last year’s natural disasters, Reserve Bank of Fiji notes key sectors of tourism, gold, garments and electricity registered positive performances in 2016. The Governor and chairman
25 Feb 2017 11:28
Economy Tourism, Gold, Garments And Electricity Record Positive Performance
tourist

Despite the setback from last year’s natural disasters, Reserve Bank of Fiji notes key sectors of tourism, gold, garments and electricity registered positive performances in 2016.

The Governor and chairman of the RBF Board, Barry Whiteside said for this year, latest partial indicators suggest continuing strong domestic demand.

This, he said, is through higher consumption and investment on the back of buoyant consumer spending and ongoing rehabilitation activities.

As such, a better growth outlook of 3.6 per cent is anticipated for this year following a 2.0 per cent estimated growth in 2016, Mr Whitesaid said.

“This is led by improved performances expected across all major sectors of the economy, supported by favourable domestic sentiments and accommodative fiscal and monetary policy settings,” he said.

“Nevertheless, downside risks to the growth outlook prevail, especially adverse weather conditions, higher import prices and domestic supply side constraints.”

Based on this, at its monthly meeting on February 23, the Reserve Bank of Fiji Board maintained the Overnight Policy Rate at 0.5 per cent.

On the global outlook, Mr Whiteside added key commodity prices are slowly gaining traction.

This, he said, was whilst improved sentiments for advanced economies have underpinned a higher growth forecast for the world economy this year.

On the contrary, geo-political and financial markets uncertainties, lower potential growth and elevated vulnerabilities in some emerging markets and developing countries may dampen growth expectations.

 

Inflation rises

On the dual objectives of the Bank, inflation outcomes were higher in January at 6.8 per cent from 3.9 per cent in December.

This, he said was as a result of one-off factors such as the impact of the December 2016 Tropical Depression (TD04F) on prices of agricultural produce and the fallout of the lower Value Added Tax rate implemented a year ago from the inflation calculation.

Mr Whiteside said inflationary pressures this year are expected to be domestically driven.

He said this would be mainly from the impact of the tropical depression on prices for market items while price pressures from imported inflation are anticipated to remain low.

 

Reserves

Foreign reserves remained at comfortable levels, supported by buoyant tourism receipts.

Currently (23 February), foreign reserves are at $1,976.1 million, sufficient to cover 5.3 months of retained imports of goods and non-factor services.

Mr Whiteside said the Bank will continue to closely monitor global and domestic developments, assess risks to the economy and the Bank’s objectives, and align monetary policy accordingly.



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