Fiji on El Niño watch

As forecasts continue to point to an extended El Niño period in the coming months, many Fijians remain uncertain about what the climate phenomenon could mean for them.

Global climate models indicate the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event could persist until at least November, although its full strength remains unclear.

El Niño occurs when surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become warmer than normal, disrupting weather and rainfall patterns worldwide.

Scientists warn that, when combined with climate change, it can increase the risk of heatwaves, droughts, flooding and heavy rainfall. While the Fiji Meteorological Service cannot yet determine the full extent of the event, forecasters expect drier-than-normal conditions and a heightened risk of drought, particularly for farmers.

Director Misaeli Funaki said current forecasts did not indicate a severe El Niño event but weather experts were closely monitoring climate models.

To gauge public awareness and preparedness, this masthead spoke to farmers and residents about their plans for the expected conditions.

Esiteri Vakacokovanua, 31, a farmer and mother of five, said she was aware of the forecasts but had not made extensive preparations.

Ms Vakacokovanua, who farms in Bua and Vuda, said some root crops could withstand dry conditions.

“I’ve heard about the expected El Niño period, but there are crops we grow that can survive the dry season, so I haven’t been overly concerned,” she said.

Farming is the family’s main source of income, making any prolonged dry spell a concern.

“For now, I’m looking at getting water tanks and planting more kumala as a starting point,” Ms Vakacokovanua said.

Another resident, who asked not to be named, said he was unaware of El Niño and was more focused on the current wet weather affecting parts of the country.

“I haven’t heard about El Niño. Right now, I’m more concerned about getting through this wet weather first,” he said.